- AProjectionRound 1
- Hand9 ½
- Arm28 ½
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Strong Points: Very productive. Accurate and can make all the throws required of an NFL passer. Very fast and athletic. Easily extends and makes plays with his feet. Good mechanics and a quick delivery. Strong arm with snap in his wrist. Does a good job finding the open man. Plays very well within the Oklahoma scheme. Can fire it or throw with touch. Can make throws from within the pocket or on the move. HIs Pro Day was outstanding.
Weak Points: Size -- will probably measure shorter than 5-foot-10. Under contract with the Oakland A's; breaking it could cost him millions. There hasn't been a starting QB this short in the NFL since Doug Flutie. Mostly throws to wide-open receivers and seldom has to make complete tight-window passes. Often throws to the first or second read. Mostly plays from a clean pocket. Measured only 5'10. There hasn't been a starting QB this short in the NFL since Doug Flutie. For the most part throws to wide open receivers and seldom has to make a tight window throw. Often throws to this first or second read. Mostly plays from a clean pocket. Only a one-year starter. Weighed about 15-20 pounds heavier in Indy than he played at with the Sooners -- and he has never played at that higher weight. He refused to be tested at that weight (40, agility drills and jumps).
The Way We See It: This is one of the most difficult evaluations I have ever done. As a QB standing 5-10, there is only one comp in recent NFL history, Russell Wilson. Murray has a lot of arm talent -- very strong, quick release, excellent accuracy and touch -- but he also throws to wide-open receivers and seldom has to go through a full progression. His athleticism and ability to make and extend plays is rare. He's a boom-or-bust prospect because of his size. Baseball is no longer an alternative after he stepped away from his obligation with the A's. In my opinion, he's a wild-card prospect but will get drafted early in the first round, perhaps No. 1 overall. The team that drafts him must have strong conviction as it's been a long time since a quarterback this small has played in the league. If he goes in the top five, the general manager who selects him is betting his career on Murray's success.
Hub Arkush: Murray unquestionably is a special athlete who can play the quarterback position, and can play in more traditional schemes than just Kliff Kingsbury's Air Raid. But there are serious questions -- no matter how much some scouts are willing to overlook them -- about whether his size is going to keep him from flourishing in the NFL the way he did at Oklahoma. And don't forget it was just one season at Oklahoma. But based on that one season and the 2018 growth of another one-year wonder, Mitch Trubisky, Murray does fit in the first round. But his limitations slot him in the second half of the first round -- probably 20-32 -- and he is a huge gamble for any team considering him in the top 10, let alone at No. 1.
Best Fit: Cardinals
Red Flags: Size, Possibly "system" QB, one-year starter
NFL Comp: Russell Wilson, Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia (but shorter)