- AProjectionRound 1-3
- Hand9 ½
- Arm28 ½
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Strong Points: Very productive. Accurate and can make all the throws required of an NFL passer. Very fast and athletic. Easily extends and makes plays with his feet. Good mechanics and a quick delivery. Strong arm with snap in his wrist. Does a good job finding the open man. Plays very well within the Oklahoma scheme. Can fire it or throw with touch.
Weak Points: Size -- will probably measure shorter than 5-foot-10. Under contract with the Oakland A's; breaking it could cost him millions. There hasn't been a starting QB this short in the NFL since Doug Flutie. Mostly throws to wide-open receivers and seldom has to make complete tight-window passes. Often throws to the first or second read. Mostly plays from a clean pocket.
The Way We See It: This is one of the most difficult evaluations I have ever done. As a QB under 5-10, there is no comp in recent NFL history. Murray has a lot of arm talent -- very strong, quick release, excellent accuracy and touch -- but he also throws to wide-open receivers and seldom has to go through a full progression. His athleticism and ability to make and extend plays is rare. Boom-or-bust prospect. Has to get baseball situation resolved before the draft, or I doubt he goes high. Right now he's a wild card -- he could go in the first round or he could last until the third. The team that drafts him must have strong conviction as it's been a long time since a quarterback this small has played in the league. If he goes in the first round, the general manager who selects him is betting his career on Murray's success.