2.) Is Josh Allen's support group good enough to help determine how good Josh Allen can be?
As a rookie, Allen authored one of the better rushing seasons by a quarterback in NFL history, averaging 52.6 yards per game and totaling eight touchdowns. That dimension greatly enhanced his floor and helped Allen rank as QB20, ahead of other part-time starters, including Baker Mayfield and Marcus Mariota.
The flipside: the bazooka-armed Allen averaged more yards per rush (7.1) than pass (6.5), tossed more interceptions (12) than touchdowns (10) and converted a first down nearly as often with his legs (46.1 percent of his rushes) as just completing a pass (52.8 percent of his throws).
Now, Allen goes from perhaps the game's worst combination of pass catchers and blockers to, well, it's hard to know. In plug-and-play starting WRs John Brown and Cole Beasley, TE Tyler Kroft and OL Mitch Morse (center), Quinton Spain (left guard), Spencer Long (right guard) and Cody Ford (right tackle), Buffalo has built a respectable QB incubator. It's just that there's little recent precedent we can think of for such wholesale changes.
The Bears almost entirely revamped Mitch Trubisky's pass-catching stable last season, but he also had a new coach and returned the same offensive line. Trubisky made vast strides, we should add, finishing as QB11 in per-game scoring. The Vikings successfully rebuilt most of their offensive line on the fly two seasons ago but had coaching and pass-catching continuity for new QB Case Keenum, who was QB15 (average).
Allen is more talented than both of those quarterbacks and, like each, should have a strong defense and adaptable play caller in Brian Daboll. Still, plenty of growing pains are in the offing and we expect him to be a better asset to fantasy owners seeking one of the year's higher upside backups than he is to the 2019 Bills, who will be better but ultimately held back by their still-raw leader.