The Bears are a better team than the Jets, and coming out flat a second time in two weeks at home would seem pretty unlikely.
If the Bears are as good as they looked at 3-1, a legit playoff contender that could even be ready to win playoff games as soon as next year, the next two games — adding Buffalo to the mix at their place in Week 9 — are games the Bears must win.
There, I said it: The Jets are the first must-win Matt Nagy's club has faced during his still very young head-coaching career, and we are now faced with two issues that call into question whether the Bears will get it done.
The Bears' pass rush, only 12 days ago the best in the NFL, has managed only one sack and few other hurries or pressures in the past two games.
The NFL’s best defensive player in September, Khalil Mack, playing the majority of those two games on a bum ankle, explains part of the problem. But considering Mack had just five of the Bears' 18 sacks when they were still No. 1 in sack percentage through Week Five, makes clear the problem isn’t that simple.
There are now seven teams in the league with more sacks than the Bears.
The second issue is one that Nagy himself brought up and admitted earlier this week, that the Bears must figure out their ground game to take his offense where he believes it can go.
The Bears have managed 784 rushing yards this season, ranking them sixth in the NFL, but 245 of those yards have come from Mitch Trubisky.