Chiefs (at Steelers)
One of the crazier stats from the Chiefs going into L.A. and putting 38 on the Chargers: Travis Kelce played every snap, yet finished only with one catch (for 6 yards) for just the fourth time in his career. We’re going out on a limb and saying that won’t happen again Sunday against Pittsburgh’s safeties. Pat Mahomes? He’s probably gone from fringe QB1 to possible QB1 overall in just one week. That’s what a four-TD road devastation of the Chargers will do. There will still be some ups and downs, we imagine, but his upside appears too great to have on your bench.
Don’t hesitate: QB Pat Mahomes, RB Kareem Hunt, WR Tyreek Hill, WR Sammy Watkins, TE Travis Kelce
Don’t do it: RBs Anthony Sherman and Spencer Ware
Steelers (at Chiefs)
When Vegas sets the point total at 52.5, you bet we’re playing both sides of the action. Big Ben had four picks last week in a tie in Cleveland (of course it was Cleveland) and showed up on the injury report with an elbow issue. Mike Tomlin doesn’t sound too worried, though, so neither are we. No, it’s Le’Veon Bell who might want to worry after seeing James Conner handle 36 touches and 92 percent of the offensive snaps in a monster starting debut. The Chiefs just let Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler combine for 292 yards from scrimmage and two scores, and Conner apparently will get the Bell workload treatment. He’s not going to put up Bell numbers weekly, we don’t think, but we love his encore opportunity.
Don’t hesitate: QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB James Conner, WRs Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster
Don’t do it: WR James Washington, TE Jesse James
Jets (vs. Dolphins)
From the outhouse and our avoid section in Week 1 to the penthouse and our exploit space in Week 2, Sam Darnold’s Jets really are living large. Seriously, the No. 3 overall draft pick was super impressive, particularly given he was pick-sixed on his first NFL attempt then showed awesome poise, pocket awareness and playmaking ability down the field. We’re not ready to start Darnold yet, but his skill guys get a big bump based on his first appearance, especially Quincy Enunwa, who was targeted 10 times (6-63-1 receiving). That Bilal Powell and Isaiah Crowell split the workload evenly (24 snaps each) doesn’t help sort things out, but Miami’s run ‘D’ creates flex appeal for each of them.
Don’t hesitate: WR Robby Anderson, RB Bilal Powell
Think twice (but it’s alright): RB Isaiah Crowell, WR Quncy Enunwa
Don’t do it: QB Sam Darnold