3) The player I’m lower on than most is…
Hub Arkush: I wouldn't even think about taking Josh Allen before late in the third round and I think he belongs in the fourth. Yes, Allen is a great athlete with a huge arm but again, if you actually watch all the tape you'll see he's a mediocre quarterback who's played against mediocre competition to this point in his career, yet someone is going to Draft him in the top 10 for almost certain and most likely in the top 5.
Because this one is almost too easy for me let me give you a second name, Denzel Ward. Here is another great athlete who at 5-10 3/4, 183 pounds I think is a better prospect than Allen, but who started just one year at Ohio State and in 26 games played had just two interceptions. Ward will play in the league but I'm not certain he'll ever be more than a nickel and if he isn't, the top 10 pick it's likely to take to get him wouldn't be returning great value at all.
Greg Gabriel: Tremaine Edmunds - While I like Edmunds, I don't see a top 10 player because he lacks top instincts. Still because of his age (19) he has a very high ceiling.
Bob LeGere: QB Josh Allen, for sure because he played at a lower level of competition and didn't ever come close to dominating. He also played poorly when he faced better competition. I think he's at least a 2-3 year project.
Also, I'm not sold on Ohio State CB Denzel Ward, who some draftniks have going fifth overall to the Broncos. Ward is fast but lacks size and strength, and he had just two career interceptions. I also think Iowa CB Josh Jackson is overrated, and his 4.55 40 time is marginal. He didn't have an interception until last season.
Arthur Arkush: I don't understand the Round 1 consideration Hayden Hurst seems to be receiving. The South Carolina tight end is overaged, sure, but my real concern is that he's underequipped to truly threaten as an explosive receiving threat and might already be maxed out. He'll add toughness and maturity to a club, but I need more than that from a first-rounder.