PFW NFL Draft: Adam Hoge's 5 first-round fits The ideal landing spots for Ridley, Mayfield, Nelson and more By By ADAM HOGE — @AdamHogeMarch 19, 2018 Here is a recent draft newsletter sample from Adam Hoge, and follow him on Twitter here.While most players (understandably) want to get drafted as high as possible and make as much money as possible, there is certainly something to be said about landing in the right situation. “Fit” is extremely important. Scheme, opportunity and coaching can make a huge difference in whether or not a prospect develops properly. So with that in mind, let’s take a look at five perfect fits for five likely first-round picks:North Carolina St. EDGE rusher Bradley Chubb to the Colts The Colts badly need a pass rusher, and if Chubb somehow falls because of an early QB run, this should be an easy selection for Indianapolis after moving back to No. 6 overall for easily the best pass rusher in this draft class. I think Chubb can be effective in a 3-4 defense too, but this is a great fit for him because he can slide right in on the right side of the Colts’ defensive line and pile up some production right away.Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield to the Broncos I’m not completely comfortable with the idea of Baker Mayfield being a top-five pick, but situational fits matter so much and have a huge impact on which quarterbacks have success and which ones fail. The Broncos actually requested to coach Mayfield at the Senior Bowl — and he performed well with Denver’s coaching staff working closely with him. Offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave did a great job with Derek Carr in Oakland, and I think this marriage could work well in Denver. The Case Keenum signing doesn’t change anything for my assessment. The Broncos would be wise to do what the Bears did a year ago: Spend money on a veteran quarterback and use their top pick on a rookie quarterback. It worked for the Bears, even if they signed the wrong veteran (they should’ve signed Keenum instead of Mike Glennon). For Keenum, this would put him in a similar situation as 2016, when he had to fight off Jared Goff in Los Angeles, but both he and Mayfield should have better success with Musgrave running the offense than the Rams QB room did with Jeff Fisher’s staff.Notre Dame OG Quenton Nelson to the Bears Nelson will be good wherever he lands, but the Bears are an especially obvious fit because offensive line coach Harry Hiestand was Nelson’s position coach at Notre Dame. It’s hard to believe general manager Ryan Pace would trade up in the first round for the third straight year, so the Bears might need a little luck to get Nelson to fall to No. 8, but can you imagine an interior line of Nelson, Cody Whitehair and a healthy Kyle Long? This pairing makes a ton of sense for both sides, especially considering the importance of protecting second-year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky in Matt Nagy’s offense.Alabama WR Calvin Ridley to the Ravens We all know how much Ravens general manager Ozzie Newsome loves Alabama products, so why not go out with one more? The Ravens need a dependable wide receiver, and although I’m not convinced Ridley is worthy of going in the top ten, this would be a great fit in the middle of the first round. Ridley is a savvy route runner who has experience running the full tree and would give the Ravens exactly what they were missing last year — consistency.Alabama DL Da’Ron Payne to the Lions With Matt Patricia coming on board, it seems likely that the Lions will address the defensive line early in the draft, and Payne seems like an obvious target because he’s a dominant run defender who can play up and down the line. His pass rush numbers are almost nonexistent, but if you watch the film, you see that he creates more pressure than you think. There’s upside in that regard. With Haloti Ngata moving on to Philadelphia, Payne would become an instant fix on the interior of the Lions’ defensive line.Way We Hear It — With free agency going on this week, it’s a little quieter on the draft trail, but I wanted to bring up something I tweeted back in November after the infamous Baker Mayfield “crotch grab.” At the time, I tweeted that based on my seven previous years of covering the exhaustive NFL draft process, but that sentiment has been repeated to me multiple times over the past couple of months in regard to Mayfield and Josh Rosen. One evaluator told me at the NFL Combine: “Rosen is the much more polished quarterback, but I’ll take the guy who absolutely loves the game and plays every game like it’s his last.” — Bears general manager Ryan Pace popped up at a few pro days last year, but my understanding is that he and new head coach Matt Nagy are focusing more on private visits this year, while trusting the college scouting staff to handle pro days, which are more about checking boxes and verifying numbers. — One lesser-known prospect who helped himself at Northwestern’s pro day this week is Warren Long, who posted a 38.5-inch vertical and a 4.50 40-time. One scout I trust told me that Long likely earned a camp invite with those numbers. The question is: where does he play? Long was a running back before transitioning to an edge-rushing linebacker in 2017. At 5-foot-11 1/2 and 212 pounds, he may have to move back to the offensive side of the football.