- AProjectionRound 1
- Arm32 ½
Strong Points: Good size and athleticism. Accuracy, ball security improved in 2018. Makes some outstanding throws when given time. Can drive the ball when he wants. Quick release. Three-and-a-half-year starter at Mizzou.
Weak Points: Doesn't always get his lower body into throws. Flat-footed at times. Footwork must improve -- often throws off his back foot. Seldom steps up vs. pressure, instead retreating. Plays his worst vs. the strongest competition (Alabama, Georgia). Only one season over 60 percent completions. Will force some throws.
The Way We See It: Drew has some of the best arm talent in class. Throws a tight ball and his accuracy improved in 2018. He is probably the most experienced QB in this class but still needs a lot of work. Mechanics (especially footwork) are off and he has a low release point. Has to learn to feel pressure and step up in the pocket. Most if not all of his weak points are correctable with coaching. He will most likely go higher than my grade because some clubs will fall in love with the arm talent and disregard the negatives. Lock has the desired physical tools; it's the vital intangibles that might not be as good as needed.
Arthur Arkush: Lock has the arm talent and athleticism to thrive in any style of offense; the questions center squarely on his intangibles. He throws a beautiful deep ball and can be pinpoint precise when he's in the groove, but more often his lower-body mechanics are out of whack, leading to his accuracy issues. Though his completion percentage improved each season, he was still below 63 percent in his best year in 2018 and his career mark is only 57. As a four-year starter who spent his first three seasons in a QB-friendly spread attack, it's concerning. He's nimble and resourceful and will stand tall when given time, but he drifts in the pocket under pressure and will also take unnecessary risks. I like Lock's moxie and short memory -- signs of his football character, clearly a differentiator from, say, Blaine Gabbert -- but the fit will be vital to his NFL outlook. In the right QB incubator, his upside can be unlocked to reveal a very good starter, but there's always risk in projecting inaccurate college QBs to the NFL.
Best Fit: Broncos, Dolphins, Washington, Raiders
Red Flags: A "system QB?" In spite of remarkable record, last quality NFL QB Urban Meyer developed was Alex Smith at Utah, and independent of Meyer, OSU QBs have struggled at next level.
NFL Comp: Jay Cutler