Pro Football weekly

A look at NFL handicapping with the PFW editor lobbying to become Las Vegas bureau chief.

Steelers could be home underdog for first time since '07 season

Posted July 08, 2010 @ 12:39 p.m.
The Falcons are now favored in their season opener at Pittsburgh at the majority of Nevada and online sportsbooks whose lines are charted by VegasInsider.com. Atlanta is favored by as many as two points. The game is still rated a pick 'em at a couple of sportsbooks, including Pinnacle. The Steelers have not been home underdogs since hosting Jacksonville in the wild-card round on Jan. 5, 2008. The Steelers lost 31-29 but covered the ...

49ers favored in opener at Seahawks

Posted July 13, 2010 @ 10:42 p.m.
The 49ers are a popular pick to win the NFC West, as executive editor and division expert Dan Arkush pointed out recently. And indeed, San Francisco is the pick to win the West in the Yahoo! Sports / Pro Football Weekly 2010 NFL Preview magazine. And the Niners are being treated like a division-title contender by Nevada oddsmakers, who have installed them as a slight favorite vs. Seattle. The Niners are favored by 2½ points by ...

Chargers biggest road favorite of Week One

Posted July 15, 2010 @ 7:57 p.m.
The Chargers, who have been favored in their last eight games vs. Kansas City, are six-point favorites at the Chiefs in Week One. The prevailing Over-Under is 45. San Diego dominated both games vs. Kansas City last season, rolling to a 37-7 win as 5½-point favorites on Oct. 25 and a 43-14 victory when laying 13½-points on Nov. 29. Those who believe the Chargers will roll again will note that WR Vincent Jackson ...

Pointspread indicates gap narrowing between Colts, Texans, but line is telling

Posted July 16, 2010 @ 6:12 p.m.
The Texans have never been favored against the Colts, and they have only won straight-up just once in 16 games against Indianapolis, scoring a 27-24 victory in 2006. Let the record show that Houston was the last team to beat Indy that season; the Colts, of course, would eventually prevail in Super Bowl XLI vs. Chicago. The Texans would like nothing more than to be the first team to beat the Colts this season, and ...

Which team captures the public's fancy in Super Bowl XLIV?

Posted Feb. 04, 2010 @ 12:45 a.m.
Where will the line for Super Bowl XLIV settle by Sunday? I'm having a hard time figuring that one out after seeing the line fall at some sportsbooks this week; as of this writing, the Colts are favored by as few as 4½ points against the Saints at some online books. I can't see the line going lower than that, but it's unlikely to rise to 6½ or 7 save for some ...

Super Bowl XLIV pointspread discussion

Posted Feb. 06, 2010 @ 9:43 a.m.
The Colts are 5- or 5½-point favorites at most Las Vegas sportbooks as the biggest football betting weekend of the season begins. Where will the money go in the next two days? If the early returns are any indication, the public will favor Indianapolis. "We look like we're going to need the Saints because the Colts money is outpacing the Saints money," said Jay Rood, the race and sportsbook director at MGM Mirage ...

Gameday Super Bowl XLIV line and total update

Posted Feb. 07, 2010 @ 9:41 a.m.
As of Sunday morning, the Colts remain favored by 5 or 5½ points at most sportsbooks, while the Over-Under holds at 56½ or 57. We took a closer look at what might happen to the line this weekend on Saturday, so let's dive into the total, shall we? As I've noted before, this Over-Under, were it to close at either 56½ or 57, would be the highest in Super Bowl history, per records ...

One high roller really, really loves the Colts...

Posted Feb. 07, 2010 @ 10:14 a.m.
Talk about your big bets. Someone placed a seven-figure wager on the Colts to win Super Bowl XLIV at an MGM Mirage sportsbook. Yes, by seven figures, we mean 'million-dollar.' The wager was on the money line, which requires a team simply to win, not cover the pointspread, for the bettor to win. Jay Rood, the race and sportsbook director at MGM Mirage, wouldn't disclose the exact amount of the wager or the identity ...

Pre-free agency Super Bowl XLV odds

Posted March 05, 2010 @ 8:55 a.m.
Clip-and-save: here are Las Vegas Sports Consultants' Super Bowl odds as of March 3, two days before the start of free agency. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS — 13/2 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS — 7/1 DALLAS COWBOYS — 15/2 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS — 17/2 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS — 17/2 GREEN BAY PACKERS — 19/2 MINNESOTA VIKINGS — 11/1 PITTSBURGH STEELERS — 12/1 NEW YORK JETS — 14/1 NEW YORK GIANTS — 15/1 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES — 18/1 ATLANTA FALCONS — 20 ...

Another way of measuring the uncertainty about Tebow's draft stock

Posted March 22, 2010 @ 12:28 p.m.
In what round will Tim Tebow be drafted? Opinions vary, and many have a strong take on the matter. In a nod to this, one online sports book is taking wagers on the subject. Sportsbook.com has Tebow as a plus-350 gamble to be selected in Round One, meaning bettors would win $35 for every $10 wagered if Tebow is selected on the draft's first day. The sportsbook is offering significantly shorter odds for ...

Arena Football League pointspreads? Why yes, they exist...

Posted April 10, 2010 @ 5:23 p.m.
In case you were wondering, yes, there are pointspreads for the two Arena Football League games to be played on Saturday night. According to thegreek.com, the Dallas Vigilantes are 10-point favorites at the Tulsa Talons, while the Orlando Predators are 2½-point favorites at the Bossier-Shreveport BattleWings. For those wanting to read more about Arena Football, check our AFL blog, which is authored by Mark Anderson of the Las Vegas Review-Journal.

Bodog.com: Bryant, McClain favorites to be selected No. 11

Posted April 20, 2010 @ 1:18 p.m.
With two days until the NFL draft, let's take a closer look at an interesting proposition bet involving the No. 11 overall pick, which is currently held by Denver. Bodog.com, an online sportsbook, has installed Oklahoma State WR Dez Bryant as a 5-6 favorite to be selected No. 11 overall. He's a slight favorite over Alabama ILB Rolando McClain, who is an even-money shot (1-1) to be the No. 11 pick per ...

NFL Draft Over-Unders

Posted April 22, 2010 @ 5:56 p.m.
Updated at 7:14 p.m. EST Thursday, April 22 Here's some last-minute NFL Draft proposition bets I found on thegreek.com. There is some fine print governing the bets -- the maximum wager allowed is $200, for instance -- but let's cut to the chase here and just look at the odds for these Over-Unders: Total number of offensive players drafted in Round One  Over  15 offensive players       +160      Under  15 offensive players     -180 ...

The Texans: two-TD favorites

Posted Dec. 19, 2009 @ 11:01 p.m.
Bettors are apparently sending it in on the Texans in the wake of the Rams having to deal with the swine flu and likely having to start rookie QB Keith Null for a second straight week. The Texans are 14-point favorites Sunday at St. Louis, which has had a tough week. The team has had to contend with the swine flu, and though all players were able to report to a walkthrough Saturday per multiple ...

Week 16 NFL line and total moves

Posted Dec. 22, 2009 @ 5:39 p.m.
Here's a look at how the lines and totals for Week 16 have moved early in the week. Opening lines referenced were published in PFW's print edition, which went to press Sunday night / early Monday morning. Lines used Tuesday are the prevailing lines in Las Vegas. As you can see, oddmakers are sensing the Redskins' bandwagon has emptied: San Diego (+3) at Tennessee (47) → Total opened at 46½. Seattle (+14) at Green Bay ...

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