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A look at NFL handicapping with the PFW editor lobbying to become Las Vegas bureau chief.

Week One handicapping notes

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By Mike Wilkening

As Week One begins in earnest, here's a handicapping trend for each of the games. 

Miami (-3) at Buffalo: Ten of Miami's 16 games went Over in 2009. 

Carolina at N.Y. Giants (-6): Carolina covered its last five games last season. 

Detroit at Chicago (-6.5): Bears were 6-10 ATS last season and are 19-27-2 in the last three years. 

Cleveland at Tampa Bay (-3): Browns were 10-6 ATS in '09 but haven't covered in Week One since 2004. 

Atlanta (-2) at Pittsburgh: While Falcons missed the playoffs last season, they covered in 11-of-16 games and finished season on four-game ATS winning streak. 

Indianapolis (-2) at Houston: Texans were 2-5-1 ATS at home in '09. 

Oakland at Tennessee (-6.5): Raiders were 8-6 ATS playing on natural grass surfaces last season. 

Cincinnati at New England (-5.5): Including playoffs, Bengals were 1-7 ATS in last eight games in '09. 

Denver at Jacksonville (-3): Denver's last five games went Over last season. 

Arizona (-3.5) at St. Louis: Rams have covered just once in last five vs. Cardinals. 

Green Bay (-3) at Philadelphia: 11 of Eagles' 17 games last season went Over. 

San Francisco (-3) at Seattle: Seahawks have covered in five of their last six home openers. 

Dallas (-3.5) at Washington: Redskins were just 2-6 ATS at home last season. 

Baltimore at N.Y. Jets (-2.5): Four of Jets' last five games in '09 went Over. 

San Diego (-4.5) at Kansas City: Chargers haven't covered in Week One in the last two years. 

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