A look at NFL handicapping with the PFW editor lobbying to become Las Vegas bureau chief.
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As Week One begins in earnest, here's a handicapping trend for each of the games.
Miami (-3) at Buffalo: Ten of Miami's 16 games went Over in 2009.
Carolina at N.Y. Giants (-6): Carolina covered its last five games last season.
Detroit at Chicago (-6.5): Bears were 6-10 ATS last season and are 19-27-2 in the last three years.
Cleveland at Tampa Bay (-3): Browns were 10-6 ATS in '09 but haven't covered in Week One since 2004.
Atlanta (-2) at Pittsburgh: While Falcons missed the playoffs last season, they covered in 11-of-16 games and finished season on four-game ATS winning streak.
Indianapolis (-2) at Houston: Texans were 2-5-1 ATS at home in '09.
Oakland at Tennessee (-6.5): Raiders were 8-6 ATS playing on natural grass surfaces last season.
Cincinnati at New England (-5.5): Including playoffs, Bengals were 1-7 ATS in last eight games in '09.
Denver at Jacksonville (-3): Denver's last five games went Over last season.
Arizona (-3.5) at St. Louis: Rams have covered just once in last five vs. Cardinals.
Green Bay (-3) at Philadelphia: 11 of Eagles' 17 games last season went Over.
San Francisco (-3) at Seattle: Seahawks have covered in five of their last six home openers.
Dallas (-3.5) at Washington: Redskins were just 2-6 ATS at home last season.
Baltimore at N.Y. Jets (-2.5): Four of Jets' last five games in '09 went Over.
San Diego (-4.5) at Kansas City: Chargers haven't covered in Week One in the last two years.