PFW Week 3 staff picks:

DENVER at GREEN BAY (-7 1/2)

Hub Arkush: DEN*

Arthur Arkush: GB

DETROIT at PHILLY (-7)

HA: DET*

AA: DET*

BALTIMORE AT K.C. (-6)

HA: KC

AA: BAL*

CINCINNATI AT BUFFALO (-6)

HA: CIN*

AA: BUF

ATLANTA AT INDIANAPOLIS (-1 1/2)

HA: IND

AA: IND

OAKLAND AT MINNESOTA (-9)

HA: MIN

AA: OAK*

N.Y. JETS AT NEW ENGLAND (-22 1/2)

HA: NE

AA: NE

MIAMI AT DALLAS (-22 1/2)

HA: DAL

AA: MIA*

N.Y. GIANTS AT TAMPA BAY (-6 1/2)

HA: TB

AA: TB

ARIZONA AT CAROLINA (-2 1/2)

HA: CAR

AA: ARI

NEW ORLEANS AT SEATTLE (-4)

HA: NO*

AA: SEA

HOUSTON AT L.A. CHARGERS (-3)

HA: LAC

AA: LAC

PITTSBURGH AT SAN FRANCISCO (-6 1/2)

HA: PIT

AA: PIT*

L.A. RAMS (-3) AT CLEVELAND 

HA: LAR

AA: CLE

CHICAGO (-4) AT WASHINGTON

HA: CHI

AA: CHI

BEST BETS

HA: KC

The difference in these two teams is that we know exactly who the Chiefs are and what to expect pretty much irrespective of who they play. This is the Ravens' chance to earn that kind of trust, and I don't love the Kansas City defense. But this isn't just the Ravens' first big test, it's their first real challenge, and until they show me they can handle it the Chiefs are a pretty easy pick here.

AA: TB

This isn't an endorsement of Jameis Winston, despite him coming off a dynamite performance last Thursday in Carolina, as much as it is a major vote of confidence in Tampa's 'D' vs. a rookie quarterback being thrown into the fire of his NFL starting debut. Under Todd Bowles, the Bucs have been sneaky (and suddenly) good, and they'll make life very hard on top pick Daniel Jones in his NFL starting debut, while Winston gets an awful Big Blue 'D' allowing an embarrassing 132.3 passer rating and 10.6 yards per pass attempt — both representing the worst in the NFC — to Dak Prescott and Josh Allen.

LAST WEEK'S RESULTS (SU, ATS & BEST BET):

HA: 8-7 / 3-12 / 0-1

AA: 10-4 / 7-8 / 1-0

SEASON RESULTS:

HA: 19-10-1 / 8-22 / 0-2

AA: 21-7-1 / 14-16 / 2-0