When putting together a daily fantasy football roster, let's face facts – almost nobody wants to click that little plus sign next to Colin Kaepernick's name.
There are at least a few reasons for this.
The perception that the 49ers starting quarterback isn't good. (More on this later). Kaepernick lost his starting job in Week 8 of last season on a terrible 49ers team, then got hurt and missed the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Reports from early this season were that Kaepernick just did not have the arm strength to regain that job from Blaine Gabbert. I'll repeat that: Blaine Gabbert.
Before he lost his job to Gabbert, Kaepernick was trending downward from his breakout 2013 season. The loss of coach Jim Harbaugh and the downward spiral that is the 49ers franchise didn't help things.
Maybe your politics gets in the way of wanting to put Kaepernick on your roster. Kaepernick has protested police brutality with his kneel-down during the national anthem, which has drawn plenty of public backlash. Kaepernick has since revealed he did not exercise his right to vote. He then had a few positive things to say about Fidel Castro's investment in Cuba's education system compared to its prison system, comparing that to mass incarceration issues in the United States.
Does politics drive down Kaepernick's ownership percentages in DFS? There's no evidence to support that. I think the reason people don't want to put Kaepernick on their roster is because the 49ers are bad, and Kaepernick had a string of games in 2014/15 that came in under expectations. People want to root for the guys they put on their fantasy rosters, and it's hard to cheer for losing football.
Regardless of the reason for his low ownership numbers – just 2.3 percent in last week's DraftKings Millionaire Maker tournament – it's time to talk about his on-field performance.
Over the past four games, Kaepernick has averaged: Two touchdown passes against just 0.5 interceptions, 277 yards passing and 55 yards rushing. On DraftKings, that's an average of 26.9 points. Since becoming the starter six weeks ago, he's done no worse than 16.12 points.
Kaepernick has shown a large enough sample size to indicate he's a high floor quarterback again, with a tournament-winning ceiling each week. The 49ers continue to play at the fastest pace in the league, which means Kaepernick gets more volume and more chances to score fantasy points than any quarterback.
This week, he is the 13th most expensive quarterback on DraftKings and the 12th most expensive on FanDuel.
He's playing a Bears team racing the 49ers for second-worst record in the league, and who just lost yet another defensive player this past week in stud linebacker Danny Trevathan.
After that, it's the listless Jets at home, at Atlanta and at home against the Rams. Those are all exploitable defenses for Kaepernick.
The 49ers are a bad team, but Colin Kaepernick can win you money, and he still isn't finding himself on many rosters.