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Recent posts by William Del Pilar
32nd in a series.
The Redskins were a fantasy nightmare last season with poor quarterback play, injuries and subpar play limiting the rushing and receiving attacks as well as a four-game suspension late in the season that sent their best fantasy player, TE Fred Davis, to the sideline.
What direction does the QB position go?
The team might find a free agent in Matt Flynn, Peyton Manning or it could target Robert Griffin III in the draft if it trades up. One thing is for sure, head coach Mike Shanahan can't risk his job on either Rex Grossman or John Beck at the helm again in 2012. The 'Skins also have to deal with key free agents such as Fred Davis and bring in some WR help. That's just the fantasy positions. This team has many needs overall and it could have limited fantasy production.
Grossman is a free agent and wants to return. If the team fails to land a QB, it could bring him back, but I'm not sure how that happens, as Grossman has shown he's not an NFL starter. He threw for 3,151 yards and 16 TD passes with 20 interceptions in 2011 — an average of 242.4 yards, 1.2 TDs with 1.5 interceptions in 13 games. With his future up in the air, combined with subpar numbers, he has no fantasy value. Beck will come back as a backup but has no value.
Will RB Roy Helu start?
Helu came on in Week 12 and had a great three-game stretch (Weeks 12-14) where he totaled 73-334-2 rushing and 13-102-0 receiving on 16 targets. However, he appeared to wear down and was not a factor the final three games. That's one reason the team will look for a change-of-pace player like Evan Royster or Tim Hightower to complement Helu. Helu has solid hands and has No. 2 fantasy back potential, but until the passing attack gets on track, the position has limited upside. Regardless, Helu's should see most of the touches as long as he can remain healthy and productive.
Royster will see an opportunity to contribute — when he was given a shot in 2011 he showed playmaking ability. He came on in Weeks 16 and 17 with 39-245-0 rushing and 6-59-0 receiving on 10 targets. If Helu wears out, his role could increase. Shanahan will not hesitate to bench an unproductive back, making Royster a keeper in dynasty formats and someone to target if he can standout in camp. He's a watch-list player this offseason.
Right now, Tim Hightower is recovering from ACL surgery and is a free agent. However, the team is going to try to re-sign him. Hightower likely won't be 100 percent and the team would like to use him to take advantage of his blocking skills and ability to pick up the blitz. He has minimum value, as it generally takes two years before a running back reaches his pre-injury form.
Will the team upgrade the WR position?
The team has said it will look at wide receivers this offseason, as it needs a playmaker who can stretch the field. This will be addressed in free agency or the draft.
Santana Moss will be 33 this season and it's obvious he has lost a step with his worst season since his second year in the league. Moss missed four games with a hand injury and wasn't effective upon his return. He managed 70 or more yards only three times and failed to impress as a fantasy receiver. At his age, when receivers go, they go quickly and if the team is looking for a playmaking wideout his days as a No. 1 fantasy WR are over. Moss totaled 46-584-4 on 96 targets — an average of 3.8 catches for 48.7 yards and 0.3 TDs in 12 games. Don't write him off completely until we see the direction the team goes, but he's only a No. 3 fantasy wideout at best.
Jabar Gaffney was the team's best wideout in 2011 with 68-947-5 receiving on 115 targets — an average of 4.3 catches for 59.2 yards and 0.3 TDs on 7.2 targets in 16 games. He led all receivers in targets, yardage and TDs but is a complementary receiver who had a career year in his 10th season. He's not likely to repeat those numbers and could be overvalued.
Anthony Armstrong (7-103-2 on 27 targets), Leonard Hankerson (13-163-0 on 20 targets) and Terrence Austin (12-137-0 on 26 targets) are depth players and will be battle for roster spots or playing time. There is no value here.
Will TE Fred Davis remain with the team?
After getting the franchise tag from the team on March 2, Davis will remain a Redskin for at least one more year. He totaled 59-796-3 receiving on 88 targets — an average of 4.9 catches on 66.3 yards and 0.25 TDs in 12 games in 2011. He will be a second-tier tight end on draft day because of the uncertainty of the offense and the potential return of Chris Cooley. However, he's a keeper in dynasty formats, and if Cooley doesn't come back, he has upside.
Cooley likely will have to restructure his contract or be released. He missed nine games in 2009 and 11 games in 2011 and enters his ninth season with heavy mileage. Expect him to restructure his deal but that could hurt Davis' value if Cooley's healthy. Davis is the No. 1 tight end now and Cooley has no value going into the offseason based on his recent injury history and expected playing time.