Jets-Colts fantasy breakdown

Posted Jan. 06, 2011 @ 4:11 p.m.
Posted By Michael Blunda

Here is a look at how Saturday's Jets-Colts wild-card game could unfold from a fantasy perspective:

When the Jets have the ball: New York will want to ram the ball down Indy's throat, which means a heavy dose of RBs LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene. After a hot start, L.T. cooled down quite a bit in the second half of the season. Greene, on the other hand, started slowly but finally began to live up to the hype in the final couple months. The two are likely to split carries evenly against a Colts run defense that was porous but has rounded into form lately, allowing 80 yards or less in each of the past three games. Look for decent efforts from both backs. QB Mark Sanchez seems to be over his shoulder injury, but his numbers aren't likely to be anything spectacular. Since Week 11, he has just two TD passes and six picks. He'll be looking for big plays from WRs Santonio Holmes and Braylon Edwards on Saturday night, as those two have been able to put up impressive stats even in a run-first offense. Holmes is the more explosive of the two, but each could have nice outings against a "D" that lacks shutdown corners. TE Dustin Keller was way too shaky the past couple months and will be going against a unit that has done well vs. tight ends.

When the Colts have the ball: The Jets' No. 3-ranked defense could pose problems for the Colts, but QB Peyton Manning has overcome major obstacles throughout his career and should do so again this week. Manning just had one of the best seasons of his career with 4,700 passing yards and 33 TDs, and he has bounced back from his three-week interception outburst. Even though New York is likely to bring the heat, the QB should have little trouble picking them apart, as he did in last year's AFC championship game for 377 yards and three TDs. WRs Reggie Wayne and Pierre Garcon will have their hands full with elite CBs Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie. Wayne has beaten plenty of top corners and will find a way to catch passes, while Garcon had five TDs in his last five games and also should be a difference maker. If Manning has issues connecting with them, slot WR Blair White could see added targets. TE Jacob Tamme was a top fantasy producer in the second half and should be good for 6-7 grabs. It would be surprising if Indy is able to run the ball against the Jets' stout front. The team is likely to deploy a three-way timeshare with Joseph Addai, Dominic Rhodes and Donald Brown. None of those three backs is a great option, but Addai is the best of the bunch.