The Bears' ground game, which has struggled early on, will get shut down again, forcing QB Jay Cutler into 3rd-and-long situations that he won't convert often enough. Aaron Rodgers has enough weapons to frustrate a good Chicago defense, although both quarterbacks could end up taking a beating in this one with Julius Peppers and Clay Matthews bringing pressure.

Green Bay is just the better team at this point, even without injured RB Ryan Grant; and don't make too much of home-field advantage in this one. Each team is 2-2 in its last four games at the other's place, dating back to 2006.

Prediction: Packers 24, Bears 17