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Dan Parr's 2010 NFL predictions

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Dan Parr

dparr@pfwmedia.com
Associate editor

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By Dan Parr

Leading up to the start of the regular season, PFW will post the NFL predictions of its editors/writers, who forecast the order of finish in each division, the outcome of Super Bowl XLV, and Offensive and Defensive MVPs. In the fifth of these predictions, PFW associate editor Dan Parr looks into his crystal ball.

AFC East

1. N.Y. Jets: More talented team doesn't always win. This confident group will have to keep that in mind.

2. New England: Pass rush could be an issue again, but Pats have what it takes to challenge Jets.

3. Miami: Addition of Brandon Marshall makes them better. Could contend for wild-card spot, but first half of schedule is a beast.

4. Buffalo: Still bad, although C.J. Spiller should make them more exciting to watch.

AFC North

1. Baltimore: Very solid across the board. The banged-up secondary is a concern, but they're good enough to overcome it.

2. Cincinnati: Should finish around the .500 mark, and T.O. and Chad Ochocinco will get along just fine.

3. Pittsburgh: Loss of ORT Willie Colon hurts the running game. Steelers are another team that will finish with eight or nine wins.

4. Cleveland: Don't see how they're going to score enough points to win more than a handful of games.

AFC South

1. Indianapolis: Another year, another division title.

2. Houston: Not ready to call them a lock to finally make playoffs, but they have a good shot to get there with Matt Schaub leading potent aerial attack.

3. Tennessee: Chris Johnson will carry them far, but not back to the postseason.

4. Jacksonville: Team could be surprise playoff contender if line play is better than expected.

AFC West

1. San Diego: The beneficiaries of a weak, albeit improving, division, Chargers are still the best in the West.

2. Oakland: Not on the Raiders-to-the-playoffs bandwagon. Offensive line will need to be much better for that to happen.

3. Denver: Elvis Dumervil's absence weakens pass rush. They'll struggle to match last year's 8-8 mark.

4. Kansas City: Some people are ready to move them up a spot or two in the division. I'm clearly not one of those people.

NFC East

1. Dallas: Have to keep Tony Romo upright, but this team's title hopes are realistic.

2. N.Y. Giants: Defense should be better after disastrous 2009, but questions about the back seven on "D" remain.

3. Philadelphia: A dip is expected after major changes in offseason, but plenty of young talent bodes well for the future.

4. Washington: They'll win more games this year with Mike Shanahan and Donovan McNabb. Don't see them getting out of division's basement, though.

NFC North

1. Green Bay: Plenty of talent, although offensive line, special teams could hold them back.

2. Minnesota: Don't know how much they'll have left if they make the playoffs after daunting regular-season schedule.

3. Chicago: Free-agent additions like Julius Peppers and Chester Taylor help, but not convinced by their offensive line and secondary.

4. Detroit: While Lions are getting better, it's not their time to make a significant leap in wins.

NFC South

1. New Orleans: Don't see them being as dominant as they were for much of last season.

2. Atlanta: Pass rush is going to have to be better for them to surpass Saints.

3. Carolina: Defensive line is a glaring weakness following Julius Peppers' departure.

4. Tampa Bay: Bucs are at least a quality defensive end away from getting back to respectability.

NFC West

1. San Francisco: Defense has the potential to be very good, and offense should be more consistent.

2. Arizona: Skeptical about either Matt Leinart or Derek Anderson under center. This team will take a step back.

3. Seattle: Not expecting much from them in Pete Carroll's first year.

4. St. Louis: The growing pains will continue. Sam Bradford's poise will be tested.

 

Offensive MVP: Drew Brees, New Orleans

Defensive MVP: Julius Peppers, Chicago

Super Bowl XLV: Dallas over Indianapolis

 

For authoritative coverage and analysis of NFL news, free agency and fantasy football, visit ProFootballWeekly.com.

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