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Week Four trends and tips

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Posted Oct. 01, 2009 @ 10:48 a.m.
By Art Edelstein

A weekly series identifying handicapping trends for every game of the week.

Detroit at Chicago
The Lions are 1-2 vs. the spread including 0-1 on the road. ... Detroit has covered one of its last five times following a cover, and two of its previous eight, but has covered its last three road contests vs. NFC North rivals. ... The Lions have covered their previous three road games sandwiched between two home contests, and 11 of their last 13 road games have gone over the total. ... The Bears are 2-1 against the number including 1-0 at home. ... Chicago has failed to cover its previous five contests vs. NFC North rivals, and last season's cover prior to its bye week snapped a streak of six-consecutive non covers prior to a bye week. ... The Bears have covered one of the last five meetings and have covered three of the previous nine meetings at home.

Cincinnati at Cleveland
The Bengals are 2-1 against the spread including 1-0 on the road. ... Cincinnati has covered its last five games following a straight-up cover as a dog and has covered six of the previous nine meetings. ... The Bengals have failed to cover their last seven, and nine of the previous 10, games after playing the Steelers and have covered one of their previous six times before playing the Ravens. ... The Browns are 0-3 vs. the number, including 0-1 at home. ... Cleveland has failed to cover its last seven games overall, and 10 of its previous 12, and has failed to cover its last four contests vs. AFC North rivals. ... Of the Browns' last nine games, two have gone over the total, and seven of the last 20 meetings have gone over the total.

Oakland at Houston
The Raiders are 2-1 vs. the spread including 1-0 on the road. ... Oakland has covered four of its last five times while playing the first of consecutive road games but has covered one of its last six opportunities following a game in Denver. ... Of the Raiders' last 47 contests, 17 have gone over the total. ... The Texans are 1-2 against the number including 0-2 at home. ... Houston has covered its last five times after failing to cover as a favorite and has covered its previous three times following a non-cover. ... The Texans have covered three of their last nine times as a favorite, and 14 of their last 19, and 16 of their previous 22, contests have gone over the total.

Seattle at Indianapolis
The Seahawks are 1-2 against the spread including 0-1 on the road. ... Seattle has covered one of its last four games and has covered two of its previous 11 road contests sandwiched between two home games. ... The Seahawks have covered their previous three times vs. AFC opponents, and 11 of their last 36 road games have stayed under the total, including playoffs. ... The Colts are 2-1 vs. the number, including 0-1 at home. ... Indy has covered its previous three times following a game on grass and has covered four of its last five contests prior to playing the Titans. ... Of the Colts' previous five games, including playoffs, four have stayed under the total.

Tennessee at Jacksonville
The Titans are 1-2 vs. the spread, including 1-1 on the road. ... Tennessee has covered five of its previous six times while playing the second of consecutive road contests and has covered 10 of its last 14 games before playing the Colts. ... The Titans have covered four of the last five meetings. ... The Jaguars are 2-1 against the number, including 0-1 at home. ... Jacksonville has failed to cover its previous six times following a cover and has covered one of its last nine home games. ... The Jaguars have failed to cover their last four contests after playing the Texans, including playoffs.

New York Giants at Kansas City
The Giants are 2-1 against the spread including 2-0 on the road. ... New York has covered 20 of its previous 26 games overall, including playoffs, and has covered 16 of its last 18, and 18 of its previous 21 contests away from home, including playoffs. ... The Chiefs are 0-3 vs. the number including 0-1 at home. ... Kansas City has failed to cover its last five games and has covered three of its previous 14 home contests. ... The Chiefs have covered one of their last five contests vs. NFC squads.

Baltimore at New England
The Ravens are 3-0 vs. the spread including 1-0 on the road. ... Baltimore has covered its last five, and eight of its previous nine, regular-season games and has covered eight of its last 11 regular-season contests as a dog. ... The Ravens have covered 18 of their previous 23 games overall, including playoffs, and have covered 10 of their previous 12 times prior to playing the Bengals. ... Of Baltimore's last 13 regular-season road contests, 10 have gone over the total. ... The Patriots are 1-2 against the number, including 1-1 at home. ... New England has covered one of its last seven times while playing the second of consecutive home games but has covered its last three times after playing an NFC opponent.

Tampa Bay at Washington
The Buccaneers are 0-3 against the spread, including 0-1 on the road. ... Tampa Bay has covered one of its last eight games overall and is 1-6-1 vs. the number in its previous eight contests vs. NFC East foes. ... The Buccaneers have covered 15 of their last 45 road games, and 10 of their last 13 road contests have gone over the total. ... The Redskins are 1-2 vs. the spread, including 0-1 at home. ... Washington has covered two of its last 10 times as a home favorite of more than three points and has covered one of its previous five times following a game on artificial turf. ... One of the Redskins' last 10 regular-season home contests, and three of their previous 19, have gone over the total, and three of their previous 20 regular-season games overall have gone over the total.

Buffalo at Miami
The Bills are 2-1 against the number, including 1-0 on the road. ... Buffalo has covered its last four road games and has covered four of its last five times following a double-digit loss. ... The Bills have covered one of the last four meetings, and five of the previous six meetings have stayed under the total. ... The Dolphins are 0-3 against the spread, including 0-1 at home. ... Miami has failed to cover its last four games, including playoffs, and is 6-18-1 vs. the number in its previous 25 home contests, including playoffs. ... The Dolphins are 11-35-1 vs. the number in their last 47 home games, including playoffs, and 11 of their last 14 contests have stayed under the total, including playoffs. ... Miami is 1-5-1 vs. the spread in its previous seven, and 2-9-1 against the number in its last 12, home games vs. AFC East rivals.

New York Jets at New Orleans
The Jets are 3-0 against the spread, including 1-0 on the road. ... New York has covered its last five contests as a dog but has failed to cover its last four times after playing the Titans. ... The Saints are 3-0 vs. the number, including 1-0 at home. ... New Orleans has covered its previous eight times as a favorite, and 10 of its last 11, and is 8-1-1 vs. the spread in its previous 10 games overall. ... The Saints have covered their last five contests vs. AFC opponents and are 8-2-1 against the number in its last 11 games prior to a bye week.

Dallas at Denver
The Cowboys are 2-1 against the spread, including 1-0 on the road. ... Dallas has failed to cover its last three times while playing the first of consecutive road contests and has failed to cover its previous three games, and seven of its last nine, following a cover. ... Of the Cowboys' previous seven regular-season road contests, 18 have gone over the total. ... The Broncos are 3-0 vs. the number, including 1-0 at home. ... Denver has covered two of its previous nine times, and three of its last 12, vs. NFC opponents and has covered two of its previous 12 home contests vs. NFC squads. ... The Broncos are 5-2-1 vs. the spread in their last eight games after playing the Raiders, and all three of their games have stayed under the total.

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Rams are 1-2 against the number, including 1-1 on the road. ... St. Louis has failed to cover its last five road contests vs. NFC West rivals and has covered one of its last nine games vs. NFC West rivals overall. ... The Rams have covered seven of its previous 22 games, and five of the previous six meetings have stayed under the total. ... The 49ers are 3-0 against the spread, including 1-0 at home. ... San Francisco is 6-1-1 vs. the number in its last eight, and 8-2-1 vs. the spread in its previous 11, games overall and has covered four of its last five times vs. NFC West rivals. ... The last three games the 49ers have played vs. NFC West rivals all have stayed under the total.

San Diego at Pittsburgh
The Chargers are 1-2 against the number, including 0-1 on the road. ... San Diego has failed to cover its last three night games away from home and has covered three of its previous 10 road contests, including playoffs. ... Of the Chargers' last 11 regular-season road games, eight have gone over the total. ... The Steelers are 0-3 against the spread, including 0-1 at home. ... Pittsburgh has failed to cover its last four games, including playoffs, and has failed to cover its previous four regular-season contests vs. AFC West opponents. ... The Steelers have covered their last seven times following three consecutive non-covers.

Green Bay at Minnesota
The Packers are 2-1 vs. the number, including 1-0 on the road. ...  Green Bay has covered 16 of its previous 21 road games and has covered seven of its last eight, nine of its previous 11 and 13 of its last 17 contests vs. NFC North rivals. ... The Packers have covered eight of their last nine road games vs. NFC North rivals, and have covered their last five games, and 10 of their previous 12, on artificial turf. ... Green Bay has covered the last four meetings. ... The Vikings are 2-1 vs. the spread, including 0-1 at home. ... Minnesota has covered three of its last 12 home contests, and seven of its previous 23, including playoffs, and has failed to cover its previous four home night games. ... Of the last 17 regular-season meetings, 13 have gone over the total.

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